Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008186 0.009223 0.010360 0.011701 0.013245 0.014970 0.017050
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006378 0.007736 0.009355 0.011441 0.014076 0.017318 0.021645
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005578 0.007104 0.009028 0.011660 0.015206 0.019875 0.026585
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004928 0.006522 0.008623 0.011638 0.015920 0.021883 0.031000
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004275 0.005833 0.007964 0.011143 0.015857 0.022738 0.033823
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003883 0.005449 0.007662 0.011086 0.016373 0.024439 0.038100
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003718 0.005364 0.007765 0.011615 0.017805 0.027682 0.045291
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003343 0.004927 0.007297 0.011206 0.017698 0.028436 0.048398
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003049 0.004583 0.006934 0.010917 0.017735 0.029406 0.051993
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002858 0.004381 0.006771 0.010929 0.018268 0.031277 0.057510
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002783 0.004356 0.006885 0.011409 0.019663 0.034852 0.066889
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002607 0.004149 0.006680 0.011313 0.019999 0.036492 0.072624
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002465 0.003996 0.006562 0.011381 0.020688 0.038979 0.080779
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002286 0.003764 0.006292 0.011146 0.020772 0.040291 0.086639
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002194 0.003676 0.006264 0.011357 0.021758 0.043592 0.097722
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002077 0.003533 0.006124 0.011336 0.022265 0.045934 0.106974
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001907 0.003284 0.005770 0.010855 0.021745 0.045926 0.110296
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001809 0.003158 0.005633 0.010800 0.022134 0.048044 0.119628
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001788 0.003173 0.005767 0.011313 0.023842 0.053525 0.139416
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001662 0.002981 0.005483 0.010916 0.023429 0.053776 0.144314
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001559 0.002826 0.005262 0.010635 0.023255 0.054603 0.151126
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001495 0.002743 0.005178 0.010647 0.023780 0.057315 0.164413
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001482 0.002758 0.005293 0.011113 0.025476 0.063416 0.190219